Note: A slightly different version of this photo-essay appeared in the 29 May-04 Jun 2015 issue of the FilAm Star, the weekly 'newspaper for Filipinos in mainstream America' published in San Francisco, CA. The author/blogger is the Manila-based Special News/Photo Correspondent of the paper.
Soon after the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and
Seismology of the Department of Science and Technology (PHIVOLCS-DOST) launched
and distributed hard copies of the Valley Fault System (VFS) Atlas to local
government officials on 18 May 2015, we went to the institute’s webpage and
downloaded the online version.
We wanted to verify what we have known in 1998 – that we
were building our house in a housing village in barangay Matandang Balara (now
Batasan Hills) near the Marikina Fault, which was how the West Valley Fault
(WVF) was called before. Political sensitivity appears to have made the government
rename the fault to help dispel scary earthquake thoughts among the people of Marikina
City.
Our geologist friend also built their house in the next
village on the other side of the fault. He was involved in the geological
survey during the development of the housing areas. He said not to be scared because
our houses do not sit on top of the fault line. After looking at our area map
in the Atlas, we estimated that we actually live just about a street block away
from the line.
The Atlas is a handbook of 33 large scale map sheets of
varying scales, arranged from north to south, showing in detail the areas
traversed by the VFS. For the 22 Metro Manila map sheets, the scale is 1:5,000.
For Laguna and Cavite (10 map sheets), it’s 1:10,000, and for the sole Bulacan
map sheet, 1:50,000.
The map index shows the areas traversed by the East and West Valley Faults.The color-coded boxes indicate magnification scale of the Atlas map sheets. |
The VFS mapping is one of the component activities of the
Australian Aid (AusAid) Program-funded Greater Metro Manila Area (GMMA) Ready
Project under the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and implemented
by the member agencies of the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management
Council (NDRRMC). The Atlas can then be
used for land-use planning, engineering and construction, scientific research,
disaster risk reduction and mitigation programs, and other activities geared
towards the promotion of safer and more resilient communities.
PHIVOLCS says that the EVF “can generate an earthquake
with a magnitude of 6.2 that may result to a very destructive ground shaking,
with intensity VIII on the PHIVOLCS Earthquake Intensity Scale (PEIS), in the
epicentral area ... [and the WFV] can generate an earthquake with a magnitude
of 7.2 that may result to a very destructive ground shaking, with intensity
VIII on the PEIS, in Metro Manila and nearby provinces.”
The PEIS in Roman numerals ranges from I (Scarcely
Perceptible) to X (Completely Devastating). V is ‘Strong’ and VIII is ‘Very
Destructive’.
PHIVOLCS Director Renato U. Solidum reportedly said that
the WFV has moved four times in the past 1,400 years, and on the average, every
400 years, plus or minus 10 to 100 years. The last earthquake from the WFV was
in 1658, around 355 years ago. Earthquakes
are not predictable but the possibility of its occurrence should make us
adequately prepared for it.
Barangays in Metro
Manila transected by the VFS. Cities not transected are also shown.
|
In a radio interview, Solidum revealed that, in a night
time scenario, around 33,500 people will die and around 113,600 will be injured
in areas within the vicinity of the WVF when this moves and causes a magnitude
7.2 earthquake. He said that PHIVOLCS and other agencies based their estimates
on the population of the said areas, the quality of buildings and houses found
near the fault line, and damage percentages in past earthquake records here and
abroad.
Ground rupture resulting from an earthquake may damage
buildings and structures built directly above the active fault. PHIVOLCS
recommends a minimum distance of at least 5 meters from both sides of the
active fault against ground rupture hazard.
This should be a consolation for us who live near the WVF line.
Barangays in Bulacan,
Rizal, Laguna and Cavite that are transacted by the VFS.
|
PHIVOLCS has been distributing the material titled “How
Safe Is My House?” to enable people to evaluate the integrity and vulnerability
to strong earthquakes of their 1 to 2-story concrete hollow block (CHB) houses.
This “House self-check” is based on a “full-scale shaking table experiment on
CHB masonry structures conducted in Japan to two types of CHB houses.” Anyone
who wants to evaluate their house can download the material from the PHIVOLCS
website.
The self-check comprises twelve questions, each with a
set of three possible answers, the best scoring a “1” and the two others a
“zero”.
This Atlas map shows the
West VFS traversing
areas in Marikina City & Quezon City. The
author lives in
the blue-circled area .
|
The self-check tells that the earthquake-safe house is
one that was built or designed by a licensed civil engineer/architect, built in
or after 1992, not damaged or was repaired after a past earthquake or disaster,
of regular shape (symmetrical, rectangular, box-type, simple), has not been
extended/expanded or a civil engineer/architect supervised the
extension/expansion, the external walls are 6-inch (150mm) thick CHB, the
steels bars are of standard size (10mm diameter) and spaced correctly in the
walls, there are no unsupported walls more than 3 meters wide, there is no
gable wall or the gable wall is made of light materials or properly anchored
CHBs, the foundation is reinforced concrete, the soil under the house is hard
(rock or stiff soil), and it is in good condition overall.
PHIVOLCS photos of lateral
spreading in Bagtic, Catigbian, Bohol (left), and of the ground rupture
in
Anonang, Inabanga, Bohol (right) from the Magnitude 7.2 earthquake of October
2013.
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